CURRENTLY...


NWS Radar




TWEETED
YOUR NWS FORECAST


Winter Storm Warnings Regionwide

Isolated Two Foot Amounts Possible South Of Philly

Phillyweather.net Forecast: 14-22" in Philly


Wednesday, September 21, 2005

904 mb: Fifth Strongest in Atlantic Basin Records

CIMSS update at 5:45 PM reports the following:

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED OBJECTIVE DVORAK TECHNIQUE
AODT - Version 6.4.2
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 21 SEP 2005 Time : 154500 UTC
Lat : 24:15:39 N Lon : 85:54:57 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.0 / 920.1mb/140.0kt


Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : -0.9mb

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 23.6km

6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.9 6.9 6.8 6.8

Eye Temp : +19.1C Cloud Region Temp : -71.8C

Scene Type : CLEAR EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON


The computer estimates say 160 mph (140 kts x 1.15).

Recon aircraft is in the storm:

904 mb is the pressure they report at 5:16 ET, winds to 166 mph.

Click for updated aircraft recon reports of Rita.

Either way you look at it, this storm is a monster in the Gulf of Mexico.