Wednesday, December 07, 2005

Honors, Horrors, and Weather Wars

Honors: I'm honored that I've been 'blogrolled' at the Philadelphia Inquirer's Dan Rubin 'BLINQ' blog. In a Stuart Smalley kind of way, I feel good about myself and dog gone it, someone likes me. Thanks, Dan, I appreciate being linked and I hope that I can tone down the techie talk some so the wider audience understands what's out there. I'm trying. I'm not in the Bill Lyon mold of making weather sound like a mosaic of art flowing from words as only he and a few others can turn a 42-0 loss into a tragedy that Shakespeare would pay homage to, but I try the best I can.

Horrors: Dr. Gray's 2006 Hurricane Forecast Came Out and it's not looking good. He's calling for 17 Tropical Storms in the Atlantic, 9 Hurricanes, 5 Major Hurricanes (category 3 or higher). He's calling for a 64% chance of a East Coast landfall (including Florida) and 47% chance of a Gulf Coast hit. You may be thinking 'that's a relief. That's 9 less storms than this year.' Well, last December, he forecasted 11 Tropical Storms. We all know how many we ended up with. Dr. Gray is a great forecaster -- one of the best for tropical cyclones in the world. I hope and pray that 17 doesn't verify and we get less.

Weather Wars: I've talked about this crackpot a couple of times in the past. Scott Stevens, not the hockey player, but a former weatherguy at KPVI-TV in Pocatello, ID (not to be confused with WPVI-TV here in Philadelphia) is going bonkers with more wild and wacky talk about Hurricane Epsilon. Yes, there are still hurricanes in the Atlantic in December. Epsilon may eventually kick the bucket so-to-speak but its track and its weird turns (moving SSW) and maintaining hurricane stregnth over 70 degree ocean temperature is just odd. Plain odd. Even Dr. Lixion Avila at the National Hurricane Center simply said in a discussion yesterday "I HAVE RUN OUT OF THINGS TO SAY" regarding Epsilon's odd and interesting behavior.

In the 2005 Hurricane Season, I think that's the most fitting tribute to sum up the hurricane season like no other.