Saturday, February 11, 2006

The Complete Rundown For The Storm

9 AM Sunday Update

NWS Snowfall Amounts


LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT


DELAWARE

...NEW CASTLE COUNTY...
WILMINGTON AIRPORT 9.0 730 AM 2/12

NEW JERSEY

...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
ATLANTIC CITY AIRPORT 2.0 700 AM 2/12

...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
DELRAN 8.0 735 AM 2/12
MAPLE SHADE 7.0 725 AM 2/12
MOUNT HOLLY NWS 6.5 700 AM 2/12
LUMBERTON 6.5 815 AM 2/12

...CAMDEN COUNTY...
HAMMONTON 9.5 815 AM 2/12
AUDUBON 4.0 705 AM 2/12

...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
GLASSBORO 5.0 634 AM 2/12 DRIFTS AT 1 FOOT

...MERCER COUNTY...
LAWRENCEVILLE 13.0 735 AM 2/12
EWING 9.2 705 AM 2/12
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP 6.8 800 AM 2/12
HIGHTSTOWN 5.8 700 AM 2/12 COOP

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
EDISON 9.0 500 AM 2/12
EAST BRUNSWICK 6.0 400 AM 2/12

...MONMOUTH COUNTY...
CLARKSBURG 7.0 700 AM 2/12

...MORRIS COUNTY...
BUTLER 15.0 800 AM 2/12
MARCELLA 13.0 652 AM 2/12
CHATHAM 11.7 700 AM 2/12 COOP

...SALEM COUNTY...
PITTSGROVE 6.5 800 AM 2/12

...SOMERSET COUNTY...
HILLSBOROUGH 17.4 755 AM 2/12
SOMERVILLE 7.0 300 AM 2/12

...SUSSEX COUNTY...
SUSSEX 6.0 700 AM 2/12 COOP
WANTAGE 5.7 735 AM 2/12

...WARREN COUNTY...
STEWARTSVILLE 17.2 730 AM 2/12
HACKETTSTOWN 11.0 700 AM 2/12
BLAIRSTOWN 5.0 725 AM 2/12

PENNSYLVANIA

...BUCKS COUNTY...
WARMINSTER 16.3 750 AM 2/12
SPRINGTOWN 15.2 700 AM 2/12 COOP
DOYLESTOWN 13.0 815 AM 2/12

...CHESTER COUNTY...
HONEY BROOK 17.0 730 AM 2/12
EAST NANTMEAL TWP 17.0 730 AM 2/12
GLENMOORE 13.0 700 AM 2.12 COOP
FRICKS 12.0 730 AM 2/12
PHOENIXVILLE 11.0 345 AM 2/12

...DELAWARE COUNTY...
HAVERTOWN 16.0 800 AM 2/12

...LEHIGH COUNTY...
ALLENTOWN AIRPORT 14.0 700 AM 2/12

...MONROE COUNTY...
STROUDSBURG 8.0 515 AM 2/12
EAST STROUDSBURG 7.0 755 AM 2/12
POCONO SUMMIT 3.8 610 AM 2/12

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
KING OF PRUSSIA 17.8 755 AM 2/12
SPRING MOUNT 17.0 700 AM 2/12
ROYERSFORD 16.8 845 AM 2/12
POTTSTOWN 16.4 730 AM 2/12
AMBLER 16.0 735 AM 2/12
WYNNEWOOD 16.0 815 AM 2/12
BECHTELSVILLE 13.5 730 AM 2/12 COOP
LANSDALE 12.0 750 AM 2/12
ELKINS PARK 11.5 530 AM 2/12

...NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...
BETHLEHEM 8.3 730 AM 2/12

...PHILADELPHIA COUNTY...
PHILADELPHIA AIRPORT 10.0 730 AM 2/12



Evening Update

Some accumulations as of 7:45 PM:

Oxford, PA 3.0"
Exton 2.5"
East Nantmeal Twp 2.5"
Glenmoore 2.5"
Feasterville 2.2"
Royersford 1.5"
Wynnewood 1.5"
Allentown 1.0"
Pittsgrove, NJ 1.0"
Wilmington 1"
Mount Holly 0.8"
Lumberton 0.5"

Snowfall will continue to pick up throughout the evening and will be heaviest between 2 and 8 AM along the I-95 corridor and places east. Snowfall totals for the area as of the early evening forecasts are...

CBS3: 8-14"
6ABC: 8-14"
NBC10: 8-12"
FOX29: 8-13"
NWS: 8-13"
Phila WX: 9-15" (Call that matters is 6-10")



Here are Friday Night's calls for the Forecast Challenge. These are the ones that stick and that I'm holding the meteorologists to.



4 PM Update:

CBS3: List of Cancellations

Snowstorm Pictures from the cozy confines of suburban Montgomery County. I will update these off and on thoughout the evening.

First snow observation at the airport was 3 PM. Credit to CBS3, NBC10, and FOX29 for getting the timing right. Channel 6 was off by three hours and I was off by an hour.




Early AM Update

Here is my final call. I was predicting 6-10" for Philadelphia. Call made at 3:30 PM yesterday. I revised my numbers upward based on trends, precip, and how the storm is looking but am holding myself accountable to the 3:30 PM forecast.

The How Much Hype For Philly Essay. Did you get your Bread and Milk Yet?

We initially talked about this storm's potential impact back on Monday. This storm did not pop up on the computers on Wednesday PM. It had been trending in from the East on one computer model since Monday. You can see the train of thought for this event from earlier in the week in that post.



A couple of weeks ago I talked about the impact of radiational cooling on forecasting with snowcover. We'll track the temperature trends for Monmouth County. I did not forget this and wanted to see how the temperature trend changes between today and Monday Night (which looks to be the prime radiational cooling night). Monday Night's forecasted low is in the lower 20's. We'll see how low they end up going and how this changes between today and Monday night.


Tracking the event is up and running. This will give you current radar, satellite, temperature information for the Delaware Valley. Keep an eye on the event as it unfolds and moves through the area.