Saturday, March 31, 2012
Modeled Differences In Pattern But Nothing Too Unseasonable
On the other hand, the GFS takes this low and stalls it over Labrador, setting up a bit of a -NAO look that would sustain itself into the Easter weekend as a trough dominates over the eastern parts of North America. Temperatures for the latter portions of next week and into the Easter holiday would be near to slightly below average, while the ridge that the Euro projects moving into the Ohio Valley would instead camp out over the Plains and Midwest before getting squeezed down thanks to this upper low. The Euro shows a much shorter duration...and much more fleeting...eastern trough next week in comparison to the GFS. Under the GFS, you're looking at near 60 degree weather for Easter -- very similar to what we had yesterday...nice, but a cool start to the day.
Regardless of solution, no "big" storms are on the horizon.
The pattern itself seems to be more variable this month -- although after next week we could see a mid-month warm spell that could bring a shot of 80 degree weather back into the region towards Tax Day. While still very far out in the future, modeling is hinting a bit at this warm up taking place mid month.