Sunday, July 29, 2012

Forecast for Monday, July 30, 2012

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will likely continue through dusk. The main threat will be heavy downpours which may lead to poor/street drainage flooding and occasional cloud to ground lightning. Any thunderstorm may produce small hail and gusty winds.  Otherwise, it should become partly cloudy after any showers break up. Some patchy fog is likely, especially where in locations that received rain in the 24 hours. 

On Monday, there could be a stray afternoon shower or thunderstorm in one or two locations. However, it should be much drier than today with partly sunny skies.  It may end up being the day that is most precipitation free of the next seven.

From Tuesday into the weekend, a warm front will slowly move northward and meander around or south of our region. At the same time, a series of weak troughs and cold fronts will be moving into the region. With warm and humid air in place, the atmosphere will turn unstable. If there is a decent trigger coinciding with daytime heating, we will see the development of showers and thunderstorms. There is the possibility of some scattered severe thunderstorms on the days of more organized convection. I don’t expect it to rain everywhere, every day. Rather some areas will remain dry while others get a decent downpour each day. It will also be humid throughout the week with dew points in the upper sixties with some lower seventies. Perhaps later in the week, may be able to identify a day later this week where thunderstorm chances are very minimal. 

Portions of Freehold Township and Freehold Borough in Monmouth County were hit very hard yesterday by a severe thunderstorm. This thunderstorm produced significant wind damage, especially in the borough area. This same storm produced crop damage in Mercer County and produced a 63 MPH wind gust at Trenton Mercer Airport. It was also responsible for some wind damage and hail in Bucks County in Pennsylvania. The State of NJ Office of Emergency Management has announced a strict curfew beginning this evening from dusk to dawn in Freehold Borough. Around 6,000 residential addresses remain without power in Mercer and Monmouth Counties. The Freehold Borough area remains under a State of an Emergency.