Tuesday, July 03, 2012

July 4th, 2012 Forecast

A few days ago, some models were indicating a temporary reprieve in the heat, with temperatures around the 4th of July in the mid- to upper 80's.  Today, my forecast has our heatwave extended into the upcoming weekend.  Humidity is down over the last two days but the air will be juicer in time for Independence Day festivities with scattered showers and thunderstorms, both in the morning and in the afternoon. 

Primetime tonight will be a good night to catch some fireworks or attend any of the Welcome America activities in the city.  Clouds will be on the increase but fairly cool lows and low humidity will keep things comfortable.  Towards the early morning hours, showers and thunderstorms will be scattered and move through the area.  Lows tonight in the lower 70's in the city and north, mid-70's to the south and east.  Winds from the south at 5 to 10 mph. 

For Independence Day, those showers and thunderstorms could persist into the morning hours.  There is a possibility some of those storm could fall into the "strong" to "severe" range, but nothing like what southern New Jersey saw on Friday.  After the showers clear out, skies will turn to hazy sunshine as the heat and humidity ramps up.  Highs in the mid-90's tomorrow, but with the humidity, it may feel like 100-degrees.  Ahead of this, the National Weather Service issued an Excessive Heat Warning.

Beyond the 4th of July, it'll be hazy hot and humid Thursday and Friday with the heat index at or exceeding 100-degrees.  Remember to stay hydrated.  Friday there is a chance of a small pop-up thunderstorm or two.  The big change happen Saturday into Sunday.  Saturday's high will be in the mid-90's under hazy, partly sunny skies.  Towards evening, clouds will be on the increase and showers and thunderstorms will develop towards evening.  The shower activity will continue into Sunday, however it will be cooler and we may just avoid hitting 90.  If we don't, the heat streak will end up being 11 days.  The start of next workweek looks cooler, with temperatures in the mid-80's.  More showers are possible, however both Monday and Tuesday shouldn't be a total washout, with breaks of sun in the afternoon.  High drop down into the mid-80's, closer to where we should be for this time of year.

Have a safe and festive Independence Day!