Saturday, October 13, 2012

Forecast for Sunday, October 14, 2012

Increasing cloudiness late tonight into the early morning hours of Sunday will be associated with a warm front that will move north of our region by early Sunday Afternoon. The best dynamics for precipitation with this boundary will occur to our north, leaving our north and west areas with just a slight chance for a few spotty showers. The best chance will be closer to the Poconos. As the sunshine peaks through the clouds on Sunday, temperatures may warm nicely. High temperatures will be in the sixties across the far north to mid-seventies closer to the Delmarva should there be a modest amount of sunshine. Some of our guidance wants to hang onto the clouds with the warm frontal passage and temperatures could end up being a bit cooler if the clouds hold.  

For Monday, a strong cold front will approach our region in the afternoon and evening. Warm air will surge ahead of this front and high temperatures will be in the lower seventies across the north to mid and upper seventies closer to the Delmarva. As the front approaches, scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely. Some thunderstorms may contain strong gusts of wind.
Later Monday through Wednesday, the pressure gradient will tighten as a fresh area of high pressure moves in. This will make for a breezy, if not windy period. Gusts at one point could certainly approach 35 or 40 MPH. Maximum temperatures will return into the sixties for Tuesday and Wednesday.

A cold front will push in to our region late in the week, bringing some potentially wet weather to end the week and possibly lasting into the start of the weekend. Some details still have to be ironed out as the computer model guidance lacks some consistency and agreement at this time.