Tuesday, October 02, 2012

October 3rd, 2012 Forecast

The price we're going to pay for next week's cooldown is a few warm days, with increasing humidity tonight into tomorrow before it eases back a bit on Thursday.  We're not done with the 80's by any stretch as the next couple of days will attest -- temperatures tomorrow afternoon should nudge past 80 in most locations locally, nor are we done with the shower chances around here either as they are in the forecast for tonight through tomorrow night as the flow of moisture from the southwest will keep pumping moisture into the region.

Tonight's showers will be scattered around and one can't completely rule out a thunderstorm or two in spots overnight, with the best chances for any thunder south of the city.  Shower coverage will become a bit more spotty  later tonight as one of the impulses that's around will ease off the coast.  Wouldn't surprise us if we get some drizzle either in what may end up being a rather murky night.  Lows will be in the middle to upper 60's.

Wednesday will feature a warm front sliding through most of the region, with some sunshine breaking out in spots during the day.  That sun will help boost temperatures into the 80's during the afternoon from Allentown on south.  A few thunderstorms can't be ruled out in the "heat" of the day thanks to the sun working the unstable atmosphere.  Any shower or storm that pops up could produce localized downpours tomorrow with dew points near or just above 70 in many locations.  It can be worse in October -- we've hit 90 before in early October -- but 80's with dew points at Miami levels is not a huge improvement!

A "cool" front eases through early Thursday and lowers humidity levels to tolerable from tropical but temperatures will not respond terribly much to that drop in humidity.  It will take until Saturday with a second front to knock temperatures back more substantially.  We may be a bit conservative in our forecast highs on Saturday as it's based on the front moving through around midday...a slower frontal passage can't be ruled out and the result would be a warmer Saturday for the region.  We'll keep an eye on that.