Friday, October 05, 2012

October 6th, 2012 Forecast

After a nice day today with brilliant sunshine, we'll see the same mostly clear and comfortable conditions overnight.  Lows around the city will dip to around 60-degrees, into the mid- to upper 50s to the north and west.  Wind will remain light out of the southwest, around 5 mph.  For the weekend, there seems to be a differing of temperature profiles within some weather models.  The NAM seemed to indicate temperatures closer to the 80-degree mark for highs on Saturday while the GFS keeps temperatures in the lower to mid-70's.  I have chosen to go to closer to the NAM, with a high in the upper 70s around the city, and reaching the 80-degree mark in some locations, mostly to the south and east.  Skies will be partly sunny early, with an isolated shower towards the afternoon and evening.  Winds will remain out of the southwest at 5 to 15 mph.

For Sunday, just a gray and raw day with highs only in the mid-50s and showers, mainly in the afternoon.  The GFS actually forecasts the high at 50-degrees, however I do not believe the temperature will dip that low around the city.  Showers taper off overnight Sunday into Monday and our Columbus Day actually looks like a nice day with clearing and remaining cool.  For Tuesday, temperatures rebound into the mid-60's under mostly sunny skies.  Wednesday, skies will be partly cloudy and mostly dry throughout the day but there is a slight chance of showers in the afternoon and evening.  Thursday look dry and mostly sunny with highs in the mid-60's and much of the same for next Friday - partly sunny skies and highs in the mid- to upper 60's.

Also over the next week, I have the unique opportunity to attend the National Weather Association Conference in Madison, WI.  I'll explain more over the next coming days, especially since I have a 26-hour train ride to collect my thought, and will hopefully bring back some great ideas and information.  Keep an eye out all next week.