We're not talking about the storm to end all storms...we're not talking about the storm that will wipe Jersey or Delaware off the map, nor the storm that knocks Snooki off of her heals, but it will be a bad storm nonetheless.
Modeling continues to suggest a landfall point somewhere in the Mid Atlantic or in Southern New England -- the Euro did shift about 100 miles north with this afternoon's model run, bringing the center of the storm inland near Atlantic City. The GFS is near Providence, RI with its landfall point. We'll continue to see some nudging in timing/details/landfall points with the storm in the coming days but the whole of the Jersey and Delaware coastlines will be impacted by large surf, tidal flooding, and strong winds starting Sunday from south to north, with the worst of the worst occurring on Monday and Monday night...and if the GFS is right, into Tuesday.
Some points we continue to reiterate:
- Impacts for all include rain and varying amounts of wind. Wind will be stronger towards the Shore. Rainfall could range between three and six inches, perhaps more in spots.
- Worst impacts at the coastline depend on track of storm center. If Sandy comes ashore near Delaware or Maryland, worst impacts will include the Jersey coastline, Delaware Bay, and Delaware. A landfall up into Rhode Island (the GFS scenario) would push the worst impacts towards New England. Still would be some tidal flooding, some beach erosion, but not on the order of a center track to one's south or southwest.
- Don't get hung up on the title of the storm or whether it's a hurricane, tropical storm, subtropical, or posttropical entity. Sandy is a large storm and will have a large amount of impact along the East Coast on Monday and Tuesday.