Sunday, May 26, 2013

Forecast for Memorial Day, May 27, 2013

Frost is likely in the Poconos tonight. Patchy frost may also occur in the normally colder locations outside of the Poconos. Be sure to cover any tender vegetation.

We have experienced some really uncomfortable, sticky Memorial Day holidays within the last few years. This Memorial Day holiday won’t be one of them! Low humidity and clear skies will make for a fantastic day on Monday. Be sure to get out and enjoy all of the community events taking place and soak up the sunshine!

By Tuesday, clouds will increase ahead of a slow moving warm front. The front may not lift through our entire region until Wednesday Night. From Tuesday Night into Wednesday Night, scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely. It won’t rain everywhere, but some areas could see a drenching downpour and frequent cloud to ground lightning where a thunderstorm develops. A severe thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out in the vicinity of the warm front.

A Bermuda High takes hold for the rest of the work week into next weekend. This means that hot weather will make an appearance. Temperatures in the city should reach to about 90 degrees on Thursday. On Friday we have a shot at exceeding 90 degrees. On Saturday, temperatures will again be flirting with 90 degrees. We will continue to monitor the slight chance of a backdoor cold front developing. But at this moment, modeling continues to suggest high pressure at the surface, located out in the Atlantic, winning out and maintaining the primary influence on our weather. Partly to mostly sunny skies are expected for the later portion of the week into the first half of the weekend with some patchy, morning haze and fog not out of the question. An isolated thunderstorm is possible each day as it turns soupy, but at this point unless a backdoor cold front approaches, I am not seeing much of a triggering mechanism. As we get closer to each day, there will be a better feel for any localized triggering mechanism.

A cold front may not move through until late Sunday or Monday at the earliest. This will probably bring the best shot of a thunderstorm after the warm front pushes through mid-week.