Each year, we usually go through a few of the key indicators that can make or break tropical development in the Atlantic basin. First is the state of the Nino or Nina in the Pacific. Currently, there's a rather neutral signal -- some slight cooling in the "Nino" parts of the basin but it's not a very strong signal towards colder than average water overall that's indicative of a Nina.
Seasonal track is subject to variation but the Colorado State forecasts and others do project a heightened risk of a US strike compared to the historical norms. Part of this is due to higher activity compared to long term averages (more storms, more risk for an East Coast hit), partly also due to atmospheric patterns that can set up a more favorable or unfavorable pattern for East Coast landfalls. Those patterns are easier to pin down in a four week or less window. That said, the setup is there for another active season in the Atlantic basin.