Saturday, June 15, 2013

Forecast for Sunday, June 16, 2013

Partly cloudy skies are expected tonight. It looks like an excellent night to be out and about. Enjoy the brief, dry weather!

On Sunday, clouds should increase by early afternoon as a trough moves east. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible during the late afternoon and especially during the evening hours. We might be able to squeeze out a decent day for the most part before any precipitation moves in. The best chances of measurable precipitation will be across the northern half of the region. On Sunday Evening into Sunday Night, some model guidance has an MCS impacting parts of our region as well. These systems always make for forecasting surprises, so stay tuned. The SPC has given our region a 5% chance of severe weather at this time. This may increase if an organized MCS can make it to the coastal plain. As with the last system on Friday, the model guidance does not perform well with the eastern extent of these systems.

On Monday, with a warm front moving northward, an isolated thunderstorm cannot be ruled out. I think most areas will not see precipitation on Monday. It does appear more instability will be around on Monday, especially should that MCS fail to develop or impact our region. The SPC has given our region a 5% chance of severe weather at this time.

For Tuesday, a cold front will swing through our region. Showers and thunderstorms are likely. If there is quite a bit of cloudiness on Tuesday, instability might be limited. However, at this very moment, the model guidance is indicating the possibility of organized thunderstorms.

More comfortable and drier weather is expected for Wednesday and Thursday. 

Flash Flooding is once again possible early this week with many area waterways running high and swollen. 

Happy Fathers Day to all the dads!